What are the levels of hypothesis certainty?

The levels of hypothesis certainty are best described as "probable, possible, suspected." This classification reflects a systematic approach to evaluating the strength of hypotheses based on the evidence available during a fire investigation.

"Probable" indicates a higher level of confidence that the hypothesis is accurate, often supported by substantial evidence or consistent findings. This level suggests that the hypothesis is more likely true than not.

"Possible" describes hypotheses that have some basis in evidence but do not have sufficiently strong support to elevate them to a higher level of certainty. This could include theories that are plausible but lack enough corroboration or context.

"Suspected" pertains to situations where there is a reasonable concern or inclination to believe something is true, but it remains largely based on intuition or incomplete evidence.

This framework is essential for fire investigators when assessing the validity of their hypotheses, ensuring a structured and logical comprehension of the investigative findings. Such clarity is critical to formulating conclusions and determining causal factors in fire investigations.